Events and Probability Spaces · Recursive Probability Computation (Optional)

Lesson 3

Nikolai Chukhin · Alexander S. Kulikov

Problem. Suppose the player starts with capital \(n=100\), wants to increase it to \(t=200\), and makes bets, each of which wins with probability \(p=\frac{18}{38}\). Test your intuition: which of the following options is the closest estimate of the probability that the player will win?

5 points
  1. \(0.1\)

  2. \(0.01\)

  3. \(0.001\)

  4. \(0.0001\)

  5. \(0.00001\)