Events and Probability Spaces · Recursive Probability Computation (Optional)

Lesson 3

Nikolai Chukhin · Alexander S. Kulikov

Problem. Suppose the player starts with capital \(n=100\), wants to increase it to \(t=200\), and makes bets, each of which wins with probability \(p=\frac{18}{38}\). Test your intuition: which of the following options is the closest estimate of the probability that the player will win?

This problem can only be submitted at Cogniterra.
  1. \(0.1\)

  2. \(0.01\)

  3. \(0.001\)

  4. \(0.0001\)

  5. \(0.00001\)